Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.040994 0.047853 0.055396 0.064294 0.074485 0.085779 0.099224
2025-06-08 0.029550 0.038191 0.048589 0.061960 0.078634 0.098669 0.124491
2025-06-15 0.024091 0.034010 0.046902 0.064742 0.088625 0.119305 0.161478
2025-06-22 0.019213 0.029394 0.043580 0.064539 0.094405 0.135068 0.194158
2025-06-29 0.015219 0.025081 0.039732 0.062704 0.097331 0.146975 0.222739
2025-07-06 0.012462 0.021990 0.036997 0.061824 0.101176 0.160238 0.254340
2025-07-13 0.011178 0.020947 0.037137 0.065196 0.111629 0.184090 0.303818
2025-07-20 0.009943 0.019725 0.036735 0.067524 0.120557 0.206340 0.352882
2025-07-27 0.008329 0.017506 0.034256 0.065924 0.122679 0.217793 0.385670
2025-08-03 0.007142 0.015855 0.032497 0.065264 0.126186 0.231662 0.423473
2025-08-10 0.005993 0.014050 0.030152 0.063150 0.126751 0.240413 0.453180
2025-08-17 0.005101 0.012604 0.028263 0.061595 0.128063 0.250436 0.485784
2025-08-24 0.004492 0.011680 0.027320 0.061850 0.132974 0.267660 0.533375
2025-08-31 0.003816 0.010466 0.025578 0.060220 0.133986 0.277752 0.568819
2025-09-07 0.003578 0.010262 0.026010 0.063255 0.144765 0.307412 0.643735
2025-09-14 0.003162 0.009520 0.025103 0.063218 0.149118 0.324894 0.696629
2025-09-21 0.002706 0.008573 0.023554 0.061496 0.149630 0.334687 0.735126
2025-09-28 0.002363 0.007863 0.022460 0.060670 0.151985 0.348402 0.782601
2025-10-05 0.002259 0.007822 0.023057 0.064005 0.164110 0.383605 0.877110
2025-10-12 0.002116 0.007631 0.023231 0.066305 0.174066 0.414984 0.965996
2025-10-19 0.001836 0.006947 0.021959 0.064736 0.174659 0.425985 1.012233
2025-10-26 0.001625 0.006438 0.021088 0.064089 0.177395 0.441942 1.070437
2025-11-02 0.001396 0.005808 0.019760 0.062011 0.176315 0.449103 1.109677